Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 29529.99 at the end of Aug 4, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

This market asks whether NDAQ will the Nasdaq-100 be above 29529.99 at the end of Aug 4, 2026 at 4pm EDT before August 4, 2026.

As of today, the market implies a roughly 50% probability of this outcome.

With odds near 50/50, the market sees genuine uncertainty here. This represents an opportunity where new information could swing sentiment decisively in either direction.